Consumer price index

Inflation amounts to 2.06%

Consumer prices
Inflation amounts to 2.06%

Consumer price index of December 2025

  • Inflation goes from 2.40% to 2.06% in December.
  • The consumer price index this month increased by 0.09 points or 0.07%.
  • Inflation based on the health index has fallen from 2.45% in November to 2.21% in December.
  • The smoothed health index amounted to 133.33 points in December. The central index for public service and social benefits, set at 133.28 points, was therefore exceeded.
  • Core inflation, which does not take into account price evolutions of energy products and unprocessed food, stood at 3.00% in December, compared to 3.10% in November.
  • The main price increases in December were registered for plane tickets, hotel rooms, travels abroad and city trips and private rents. Household appliances and repairs, data processing equipment, motor fuels, natural gas, fruit and holiday villages and camping sites, on the other hand, have had a decreasing effect on the index.

Inflation now amounts to 2.06% compared to 2.40% in November and 2.00% in October. Inflation based on the health index amounted to 2.21% this month compared to 2.45% in November and 2.11% in October. Inflation without energy now amounts to 2.98% compared to 3.05% last month and 2.58% in October. Core inflation, which does not take into account price evolutions of energy products and unprocessed food, amounts to 3.00% in December, compared to 3.10% in November and 2.58% in October.

Comment on inflation

With regard to energy, inflation stands this month at -5.00% compared to -2.22% in November and -1.85% in October. For electricity, inflation is currently at 3.2% compared to 7.8% last month. For natural gas, it went from -9.2% last month to -13.6% this month. The price of natural gas decreased by 1.2% compared to last month and that of electricity rose by 0.4%. Prices for domestic heating oil, calculated based on a smoothed 12-month moving average, have declined by 7.3% over a year. Motor fuels cost 2.2% less than in December last year and decreased by 1.5% this month compared to the previous month.

Inflation for services has gone up to 4.54% from 4.52%. Inflation for rent remains stable at 3.91%. Inflation for food products (including alcoholic beverages) stands at 2.65% this month, compared to 3.00% last month.

Energy inflation goes from -2.22% in November to -5.00% in December and accounts for -0.57 percentage points to total inflation. Food, with an inflation rate of 2.65%, accounts for 0.50 percentage points.

The price of natural gas has decreased by 1.2% in December compared to the previous month. Prices for electricity have gone up by 0.4% on average this month.

Some products and services that rose sharply in price compared to December last year are:

Upward: Inflation
Plane tickets 25.9%
Domestic services 21.9%
Beef and veal 16.7%
Attending recreational and sporting events 15.4%
Costs for sewerage and waste water treatment 14.0%
Jewellery 12.9%
Coffee 12.2%
Chocolate 11.8%

Some products and services that fell sharply in price compared to December last year are:

Downward: Inflation
Smartphones -17.8%
Video equipment -16.6%
Personal computers (laptops) -14.3%
Natural gas -13.6%
Tumble dryers, washing machines, dishwashers -10.5%
Freezers and refrigerators -9.1%
Cookers, hobs and ovens -7.5%
Other fuels (LPG) -7.3%

The main group with the largest upward effect [i] on inflation in December was “Hotels, cafés and restaurants” with an effect of 0.20 percentage point. The largest downward effect was measured for “Housing, water and energy” with -0.51 percentage points.

The main group with the largest contribution [ii] to inflation in December is “Food and non-alcoholic beverages” with 0.48 percentage points. The group “Housing, water and energy” provided a negative contribution of -0.03 percentage points.

The first inflation estimate according to the European harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP flash estimate) amounts to 2.2% in December 2025.

Comment on the level of the indices

The consumer price index has increased by 0.09 points or 0.07% in December and now amounts to 136.29 points, compared to 136.20 points in November (2013=100). The health index has gone up by 0.20 point to 136.69 points in December, compared to 136.49 points in November. The smoothed health index amounts to 133.33 points in December and therefore exceeds the central index for public service and social benefits, set at 133.28 points. The next central index is set at 135.95 points. This means that social security benefits, pensions and wages in the public sector will be indexed in March 2026.

The main price increases in December were registered for plane tickets, hotel rooms, travels abroad and city trips and private rents. Household appliances and repairs, data processing equipment, motor fuels, natural gas, fruit and holiday villages and camping sites, on the other hand, have had a decreasing effect on the index.

The most important trends this month are:

Upward: Effect: Downward: Effect:
Plane tickets 0.205 points Household appliances and repairs -0.135 points
Hotel rooms 0.095 points Data processing equipment -0.070 points
Travels abroad and city trips 0.050 points Motor fuels -0.065 points
Private rents 0.035 points Natural gas -0.050 points
    Fruit -0.035 points
    Holiday villages and camping sites -0.035 points

Plane tickets became on average 29.9% more expensive in December. Hotel room prices increased by 8.1% on average in December. The price of travels abroad and city trips has also increased this month by 1.7% on average. Private rents are on average 0.4% more expensive.

Prices of household appliances and repairs have decreased on average by 12.3%. The price of data processing equipment has gone down by 15.2% on average this month. Motor fuels have also decreased in price, by 1.5% on average. Natural gas has become on average 1.2% less expensive. The price of fruit has gone down by 1.8% on average this month. Holiday villages and camping sites have become on average 3.1% less expensive in December.

2013 = 100 September October November December
Consumer price index 134.95 135.44 136.20 136.29
Inflation 2.12% 2.00% 2.40% 2.06%
Health index 135.26 135.76 136.49 136.69
Smoothed health index* 132.68 132.85 133.07 133.33
* defined in the law of 23 April 2015 on the promotion of employment (Belgian Official Journal of 27 April 2015)

* defined in the law of 23 April 2015 on the promotion of employment (Belgian Official Journal of 27 April 2015)


[i] The effect on inflation shows the changes on the inflation rate by including this product group in the CPI calculation. The effect not only takes the weight of the product group into account, but it also takes into account whether the product group inflation is higher or lower than that of the total expenditure (overall CPI).

[ii] The contribution to inflation of a specific product group shows how much of the change in the total expenditure is due to the price variation of this product group.

Indices
Content

Consumer price index, inflation, health index, health index (moving average), index without energy and petroleum, last 13 months

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Base year
Inflation
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4 groups
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Purpose and brief description

The consumer price index is an economic indicator whose main task is to objectively reflect the price evolution over time for a basket of goods and services purchased by households and considered representative of their consumer habits. The index does not necessarily measure the price level of this basket for a specific period of time, but rather the fluctuation between two periods, the first one acting as basis for comparison. Moreover, this difference in the price level is not measured in absolute, but in relative terms. The consumer price index can be determined as a hundred times the ratio between the observed prices of a range of goods and services at a given time and the prices of the same goods and services, observed under the same circumstances during the reference period, chosen as basis for comparison. Price observations always take place in the same regions.

Since 2014, the consumer price index has been a chain index in which the weighting reference period is regularly shifted and prices and quantities are no longer compared between the current period and a fixed reference period, but the current period is compared with an intermediate period. By multiplying these short-term indices, and so creating a chain, we get a long-term series with a fixed reference period.

Population

Belgian private households

Data collection method and possible sampling

Survey technique applied using a computer, based on the use of electronic questionnaires and laptops.

Frequency

Monthly.

Timing of publication

The results are available on the penultimate working day of the reference period.

Definitions

Weight (CPI): The weight represents the importance of the goods and services included in the CPI in the total expenditure patterns of the households. Weights are determined based on the household budget survey.

Consumer price index (CPI): The consumer price index is an economic indicator whose main task is to objectively reflect the price evolution over time for a basket of goods and services purchased by households and considered representative of their consumer habits.

Health index: The health index is derived from the consumer price index and has been published since January 1994. The current value of this index is determined by removing a number of products from the consumer price index product basket, in particular alcoholic beverages (bought in a shop or consumed in a bar), tobacco products and motor fuels except for LPG.

Inflation: Inflation is defined as the ratio between the value of the consumer price index of a given month and the index of the same month the year before. Therefore, inflation measures the rhythm of the evolution of the overall price level.

Consumer price index without petroleum products: This index is calculated by removing the following products from the consumer price index: butane, propane, liquid fuels and motor fuels.

Consumer price index without energy products: This index is calculated by removing the following products from the consumer price index: electricity, natural gas, butane, propane, liquid fuels, solid fuels and motor fuels.

Smoothed index: The smoothed health index, also called smoothed index (the average value of the health indexes of the last 4 months) is used as a basis for the indexation of retirement pensions, social security benefits and some salaries and wages. Public wages and social benefits are indexed as soon as the smoothed index reaches a given value, called the central index. The smoothed index is also called moving average.

In order to perform a 2% index jump (laid down in the Law of 23 April 2015 on employment promotion), the smoothed health index has been temporarily blocked at its value of March 2015 (100.66). The smoothed health index was then reduced by 2% from April 2015. When the reduced smoothed health index (also called the reference index) had increased again by 2% or in other words when it had exceeded the value of 100.66, the index was no longer blocked. It occurred in April 2016.

Since April 2016 the smoothed health index is calculated in the same manner as the reference index and therefore corresponds to the arithmetical mean of the health indexes of the last 4 months multiplied by a factor of 0.98.

The central index is a predetermined threshold value against which the smoothed health index is compared. If the central index is reached or exceeded, there is an indexation of the wages and salaries or benefits. This indexation is proportional to the percentage between the old and the new central index. For the public sector and social benefits, the difference between the central indices always amounts to 2 %. Therefore, a 2 % indexation is applied every time the central index is reached. There are also collective labour agreements according to which the difference between the central indices amounts to 1 % or 1.5 %. The reaching of a central index then leads to an indexation of 1 % or 1,5 %.
See also: https://bosa.belgium.be/nl/themas/werken-bij-de-overheid/verloning-en-voordelen/loonwedde/indexatie/indexatie-algemene
And : https://bosa.belgium.be/fr/themes/travailler-dans-la-fonction-publique/remuneration-et-avantages/traitement/indexation-0

An effect on inflation shows the changes on the inflation rate by including this product group in the CPI calculation. The effect not only takes the weight of the product group into account, but it also takes into account whether the product group inflation is higher or lower than that of the total expenditure (overall CPI).

The contribution to inflation of a specific product group shows how much of the change in the total expenditure is due to the price variation of this product group.

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